Identification of rainfall onset for meteorological use regarding to region in the Algerian highlands


Keywords: meteorology, weather, El-Niño, rainfall, forecast

Abstract

The data from several weather stations in Western Algeria show a semi-arid climate during last decades. The entire study region showed a great variability in the occurrences of the first and second rainy days in the year. This variability is associated with a positive trend, showing a continuous increasing aridity in the south Mediterranean and the late arrival of the rainy season is well marked. The rainy season in the north of Algeria, spreads from September to June. The origin of the rains differ according to the seasons. The rainfall from June to October is of localized stormy origin, whereas in winter, the rainfall comes from the classical atmospherically perturbations arriving from North or North West. This work objective was to give a definition of the rainy season onset and to show its inter - annual variability according to the Niño and Niña years. The El - Niño phenomenon by its positive and negative phases seems to affect the start of the rainy season. The variability of the rainfall onset indices is very significant. There is a relative stability of the rainy season length over the long term period. A significant delay in the precipitation onset was observed during certain years. A method to define rainy season onset based on daily rainfall data from a weather station in the Algerian highlands was proposed. This approach is based on a climatic point of view, using a frequency analysis of precipitation and dates of their first occurrence. It delays the first heavy rain day (20 mm) when La - Niña settles. If EL-Niño settles, the first heavy rain (20 mm) day will be earlier. These results will improve the probabilistic forecasts of the beginning of the rainy seasons, the cessation as well as the lengths. This work is a preliminary confirmation that the El-Niño phenomenon really affects the Mediterranean climate.

Author Biographies

Lazreg Benaichata
Ibn Khaldoun university
Mahmoud Houari
National Office of Meteorology
Mhamed Maatoug
Ibn Khaldoun university
Mohamed Azzaoui
Higher Agronomic School of Mostaganem
Naceur Khadidja
Ibn Khaldoun university

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Published
2019-04-20
How to Cite
Benaichata, L., Houari, M., Maatoug, M., Azzaoui, M., & Khadidja, N. (2019). Identification of rainfall onset for meteorological use regarding to region in the Algerian highlands. Journal of Geology, Geography and Geoecology, 28(1), 106-113. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.15421/111912