The possibility of predicting the activity of landslides as a result of inductive modeling and remote research methods


  • T. P. Mokritskaya Dnipropetrovsk National University Oles Gonchar,
  • D. A. Dovganenko Dnipropetrovsk National University Oles Gonchar,
  • M. L. Yaroshuk Dnipropetrovsk National University Oles Gonchar,

Abstract

The object of study: Landslide processes developing in the Dnepropetrovskcity. Objective: to substantiate the accuracy of   the existing classification of landslides in the Dnepropetrovsk city in order to develop methods of prediction landslide activity of remote research. Research Method: cartographic modeling, mathematical modeling, which includes the primary statistic, correlation, clustering, regression types of stochastic analysis and inductive modeling (group method of data). It was found that the solution of the research and prediction of landslides activation is impossible without an integrated approach to the study and analysis of landslide processes. The best results in the solution of this problem can be obtained by the monitoring of geological environment with using remote sensing (RS). In this work, the forecast of landslide activity methods of inductive modeling (group method of data) on the basis of a joint analysis results of monitoring the geological environment of Dnepropetrovsk, Dneprodzerzhinsk agglomeration (1983 – 2006. «Ukryuzhgeologiya») and are available free of remote sensing satellites LANLΛSAT 5 and LANLΛSAT .Keywords: landslide, remote sensing, group method of data, forecast 

Author Biographies

T. P. Mokritskaya, Dnipropetrovsk National University Oles Gonchar,
Dnipropetrovsk National University Oles Gonchar,prof., Dr.  Geol. Sciences
D. A. Dovganenko, Dnipropetrovsk National University Oles Gonchar,
Head of Department of Hydrometeorology and Environmental Geoscience, docent (assistant professor) Dnipropetrovsk National University Oles Goncha
M. L. Yaroshuk, Dnipropetrovsk National University Oles Gonchar,
Dnipropetrovsk National University Oles Gonchar,student

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Published
2016-05-31
How to Cite
Mokritskaya, T., Dovganenko, D., & Yaroshuk, M. (2016). The possibility of predicting the activity of landslides as a result of inductive modeling and remote research methods. Journal of Geology, Geography and Geoecology, 24(1), 107-111. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.15421/111616